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Management credibility scorecard

ROKU

2 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q1'26) · latest call April 30, 2026
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100%
Kept of 9 resolved - limited history
9
Kept or exceeded
0
Missed
4
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q1'26April 30, 20268/122 medium, 5 low flags40Call sheet →
Q4'25February 12, 20269/122 medium, 4 low flags50Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q1'26DeliveredContinue expanding EBITDA margins in 2026 and beyond
EBITDA margins nearly 12% vs ~6% prior year, margin expansion guidance maintained
Q1'26ExceededSurpass 100 million streaming households this year
Hit 100M+ milestone ahead of schedule in Q1
Q1'26PendingRoll out new home screen design sometime this year
Testing in 'fairly large number of homes' with rollout to everyone 'soon'-timeline still vague
Q1'26DeliveredLaunch premium subscriptions in Mexico
Confirmed Mexico launch with plans for more countries
Q1'26PendingTake Howdy to additional platforms beyond Roku
Still only mentioned as plan, no specific platform launches announced yet
Q1'26DeliveredAdd more tier-one partners and roll out bundles in 2026
Added Apple TV+ in March and Peacock this week, fulfilling tier-one partner additions
Q1'26PendingPath to over $1 billion in free cash flow by end of 2028
Reiterated this target with current run rate of $484M in 2025-on track but still 2+ years out
Q4'25DeliveredAds Manager opening up SMB market with performance focus
Charlie outlined path from hundreds to tens of thousands of advertisers
Q4'25DeliveredContinue growing streaming households both US and globally
On track for 100M households milestone
Q4'25ExceededPremium subscriptions growth with more Tier 1 launches
'Biggest quarter ever for net adds' and promising more Tier 1 partners
Q4'25DeliveredDouble-digit platform revenue growth while increasing profitability
18% growth with record EBITDA and free cash flow
Q4'25DeliveredAmazon DSP integration would be contributor but early to say
Went live as promised, though still emphasizing early stage
Q4'25PendingNew home screen would roll out in 2026
Timeline now pushed to 'sometime this year' with no explanation for delay
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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