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Management credibility scorecard

Palantir Technologies (PLTR)

4 quarters tracked (Q3'25 to Q2'26) · latest call August 3, 2026
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100%
Kept of 22 resolved
22
Kept or exceeded
0
Missed
2
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · diluter

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26August 3, 20267/121 high, 5 medium, 1 low flags50Call sheet →
Q1'26May 4, 20268/123 medium, 4 low flags50Call sheet →
Q4'25February 2, 202611/122 medium, 4 low flags60Call sheet →
Q3'25November 4, 20259/126 medium, 3 low flags60Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26DeliveredLimit salesforce to ~7 people while achieving scale
No new headcount disclosed; growth driven by product leverage.
Q2'26ExceededIncrease net dollar retention above 150%
NDR reached 157%.
Q2'26PendingExpand Maven platform usage across the Joint Force
Maven usage doubled YoY, but no quantitative target disclosed.
Q2'26ExceededRaise full‑year revenue guidance to $7.656‑7.662 bn
Guidance now $8.15‑8.158 bn.
Q2'26DeliveredMaintain GAAP profitability every quarter
Q2 GAAP operating margin 47% and net margin 55%.
Q2'26ExceededAchieve 100% YoY growth in U.S. commercial revenue (Q1 statement)
U.S. commercial revenue grew 149% YoY in Q2.
Q1'26DeliveredExpenses to increase in 2026 while maintaining GAAP profitability
Q1 expenses up 7% QoQ, 32% YoY while expanding margins to 60%
Q1'26ExceededRevenue from strategic commercial contracts less than $7M for 2026
Now expecting less than $0.5M each remaining quarter, well below original guidance
Q1'26DeliveredMaven will continue to be rolled out to all combatant commands
Usage doubled in 4 months, now 4x over 12 months across services and commands
Q1'26DeliveredGAAP operating income and net income in each quarter
Q1 delivered $871M GAAP net income with 53% margin
Q1'26PendingUS commercial revenue guidance in excess of $3.144B (115% growth)
Now raising to in excess of $3.224B (120% growth) - increasing commitment
Q1'26ExceededFull year 2025 revenue guidance of $7.19B (61% growth)
Delivered $4.475B in 2025, but this was for 2026 guidance which they're now raising
Q4'25ExceededRule of 40 score improvement
Reached 127%, up 13 points from Q3's 114%
Q4'25DeliveredSustained GAAP profitability each quarter
Q4 GAAP net income $609M (43% margin)
Q4'25ExceededUS commercial revenue >$1.433B
Delivered $1.465B, beat minimum by $32M
Q4'25ExceededFull year 2025 revenue $4.396-4.400B
Delivered $4.475B, beat high end by $75M
Q4'25ExceededQ4 adjusted operating income $695-699M
Delivered $798M, beat high end by $99M
Q4'25ExceededQ4 revenue guidance of $1.327-1.331B
Delivered $1.407B, beat high end by $76M
Q3'25DeliveredContinued GAAP profitability each quarter
Q3 GAAP operating income of $393M, 33% margin
Q3'25ExceededRule of 40 score of 91% for full year
Now guiding to 102% for full year, Q3 achieved 114%
Q3'25ExceededFull year revenue guidance: $4.142-4.150B
Raised to $4.396-4.400B, a $246-250M increase
Q3'25ExceededU.S. commercial revenue guidance: excess of $1.302B
Raised to excess of $1.433B, a $131M+ increase
Q3'25ExceededQ3 adjusted operating margin guidance: $493-497M
Delivered $601M, beating high end by $104M
Q3'25ExceededQ3 revenue guidance: $1.083-1.087B
Delivered $1.181B, beating high end by $94M or 8.7%
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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