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Management credibility scorecard

MSCI

4 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q3'26) · latest call October 20, 2026
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92%
Kept of 13 resolved
12
Kept or exceeded
1
Missed
8
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · accretor

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q3'26October 20, 20269/122 medium, 2 low flags00Call sheet →
Q2'26July 21, 20264/122 high, 4 medium, 2 low flags30Call sheet →
Q1'26April 21, 20269/121 medium, 7 low flags50Call sheet →
Q4'25January 28, 20269/122 medium, 4 low flags41Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q3'26PendingWe indicated that we would be towards the high end of the expense guidance ranges based on the assumption of relatively flat markets in Q2
Full-year 2026 guidance period has not ended; this quarter the range was reaffirmed/tightened to 'top end' of guidance, a revision, not a resolution.
Q3'26PendingExpect recurring net new sales to be roughly zero to slightly negative for the combined sustainability and climate reporting segment across the next two quarters (Q3 and Q4 2026)
Period spans two quarters and is not yet fully elapsed (Q4 still open). Q3 actual net figure (post-cancels) was not explicitly stated; only gross new sales (>$5M sustainability, >$2M climate) and 'elevated cancels' were disclosed. Deadline (end of Q4) has not been reached.
Q3'26PendingUpon close of the acquisition in Q3, First Street expected to add about $10 million of subscription run rate to the S&C reporting segment
Current call confirms the deal closed and integration is 'on track' with 'very strong' client engagement, but management did not restate or confirm the specific $10M figure against actual Q3 results; actual not independently stated on the call.
Q2'26PendingCapitalize on active ETF opportunity with asset managers
Mentioned 'handful of clients' but no material revenue disclosed
Q2'26PendingAI transformation to show in results
Lots of activity but admitted 'only just starting to see benefits'
Q2'26DeliveredMaintain strong capital returns to shareholders
$147M buyback in quarter maintains aggressive pace
Q2'26PendingAnalytics revenue to track closer to run rate growth after Q2
Set up Q3 as the test; Q2 guided down to 5%
Q2'26DeliveredSustained momentum in private capital solutions
Accelerated to 16.2% growth from 15.8%
Q2'26DeliveredDouble-digit index subscription growth return
Hit 11.1% growth, exceeded the 10% threshold
Q1'26ExceededIndex subscription growth to remain strong with custom index focus
10.7% growth, record Q1 recurring sales of $33M driven by custom indices
Q1'26DeliveredAI transformation to strengthen competitive advantages
IndexAI Insights launched with hundreds of users, 120-140 AI projects disclosed
Q1'26ExceededContinue strong capital returns through share repurchases
$464M repurchased through April at $556 average, maintaining aggressive pace
Q1'26PendingSustainability and Climate focusing on physical risk and energy transition
Mentioned central bank of Germany win but still seeing 'muted growth in near term'
Q1'26ExceededDrive adoption of newer and established Analytics solutions
$17M recurring sales (+30% YoY), second highest Q4 performance translated to Q1 momentum
Q1'26DeliveredContinue to invest in Private Capital Solutions with strong momentum expected
PCS run rate growth accelerated to nearly 16%, delivered $8M new sales (+86% YoY)
Q4'25DeliveredStrong pipeline and opportunities in Private Capital Solutions
86% growth delivered, though from small base
Q4'25DeliveredContinue to see pressures in Sustainability and Climate
Confirmed softness in Americas, growth slowed from 8% to negative YoY
Q4'25ExceededRelatively stable environment and market backdrop
Delivered strong Q4 results with acceleration in most metrics
Q4'25MissedAI enhancements will be smooth impact on financial model
Changed from smooth to 'still early days'-timeline extended
Q4'25PendingThe goal of MSCI is to have a fully integrated company
Dropped product-line targets as evidence of integration, but no concrete metrics provided
Q4'25DeliveredContinue to see strong momentum in delivering new products
PCS up 86%, Index custom growth 16%, new AI products launched
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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