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Management credibility scorecard

Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR)

3 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q2'26) · latest call July 30, 2026
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93%
Kept of 14 resolved
13
Kept or exceeded
1
Missed
5
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26July 30, 20265/122 high, 4 medium, 1 low flags40Call sheet →
Q1'26April 30, 20269/125 medium, 1 low flags60Call sheet →
Q4'25February 5, 20269/123 medium, 4 low flags31Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26DeliveredContinue to be cautious on notebook
Maintained cautious stance, no change
Q2'26PendingStorage staying strong through the year
Not discussed in detail this quarter, quietly dropped
Q2'26PendingAutomotive flat first half, ramping second half
Still maintaining this view, Q3 will be the test
Q2'26DeliveredCommunications above corporate average growth
Grew 45% sequentially, well above company average
Q2'26ExceededEnterprise data 85% YoY growth floor
Raised to 130% floor based on backlog visibility
Q2'26ExceededReach $6 billion capacity in the near future
Now targeting 'significantly beyond $6 billion' though without specifics
Q1'26DeliveredCommunications growth above corporate average
33% sequential growth confirms strong momentum
Q1'26DeliveredStorage strength continuing
Confirmed DDR5 volume visibility and data center pull-through
Q1'26PendingAutomotive flat H1, ramping H2
Reiterated same guidance - consistency maintained
Q1'26Delivered800V power solutions sampling
Progressed to co-development phase with customers
Q1'26Exceeded3A per mm³ current density products sampling
Moved to shipping and qualified - ahead of schedule
Q1'26Delivered$4B capacity milestone achievement
Achieved and immediately raised target to $6B
Q1'26Exceeded30-40% enterprise data growth, raised to 50% floor last quarter
Delivered 85% floor - massive beat on confidence upgrade
Q4'25DeliveredContinued supply chain capacity expansion
Exceeded $4B milestone and continuing to expand
Q4'25PendingAutomotive BMS and traction inverter solutions '27 and beyond
Timeline unchanged but added macro uncertainty warnings
Q4'25DeliveredCurrent density doubling technology progression
Moved from development to customer sampling phase
Q4'25Missed800-volt solutions revenue in '27-'28
Timeline pushed to 'maybe end of next year' from earlier '27 start
Q4'25PendingMargin expansion resuming with longer backlog visibility
Seeing backlog develop but Bernie hedged on timing of 10-20 bps quarterly improvements
Q4'25ExceededEnterprise data growing 30-40% in 2026, weighted to second half
Raised to 'floor of 50%' growth with Michael suggesting much higher possible
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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