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Management credibility scorecard

MongoDB (MDB)

8 quarters tracked (Q2'25 to Q2'27) · latest call September 1, 2026
Get the next MDB call sheet
90%
Kept of 31 resolved
28
Kept or exceeded
3
Missed
11
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · diluter

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'27September 1, 2026-No flags00Call sheet →
Q1'27May 28, 20266/121 high, 3 medium, 2 low flags21Call sheet →
Q4'26March 3, 20269/122 medium, 4 low flags50Call sheet →
Q3'26December 1, 20259/123 medium, 3 low flags50Call sheet →
Q1'26June 4, 20258/123 medium, 5 low flags30Call sheet →
Q4'252025-03-059/122 medium, 4 low flags32Call sheet →
Q3'252024-12-099/123 medium, 3 low flags50Call sheet →
Q2'25August 29, 20249/124 medium, 4 low flags50Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q1'27MissedAI becoming meaningful revenue driver
Explicitly stated 'results today driven primarily by core workloads,' walked back AI revenue narrative
Q1'27PendingFederal business acceleration
Bought Clarity for $10M revenue, FedRAMP still not complete
Q1'27PendingNew CRO search in final stages
Still searching, Paul staying through Q2 as advisor
Q1'27PendingBring EA to feature parity with Atlas
Still talking about it happening 'throughout fiscal 2027,' no progress update
Q1'27ExceededOperating margin expansion in FY26
Delivered 23% margin vs 21% prior year, beat guidance by 100+ bps
Q1'27DeliveredAtlas to grow >29% in Q1
Delivered 29.4% growth, barely cleared the bar
Q4'26DeliveredJanuary 15 San Francisco .local event
Event held, 70% attendees hadn't used MongoDB - successful mind share effort
Q4'26PendingContinue strategic investments in engineering, marketing and sales capacity
Pushed some investments to Q4 and FY27, benefiting FY26 margins
Q4'26DeliveredFree cash flow conversion exceeding 100% for fiscal '26
Achieved with $177M free cash flow in Q4
Q4'26ExceededOperating margin of approximately 21% in Q4
Delivered 23% margin, 200bps above guidance midpoint
Q4'26ExceededNon-Atlas business to grow in upper single-digit range in Q4
Delivered 20% revenue growth driven by large multiyear deals
Q4'26ExceededAtlas to see approximately 27% revenue growth in Q4
Delivered 29% growth, though needed bundling adjustment explanation
Q3'26Exceeded80% to 100% for free cash flow conversion
Now expecting to exceed 100% for fiscal 2026
Q3'26Exceeded100 to 200 basis points of margin expansion on average
On track for 18% FY26 operating margin, well above long-term model
Q3'26ExceededFocus on running an efficient, scalable business
20% operating margin vs 15% prior quarter, well above targets
Q3'26PendingContinue to make strategic investments in engineering, marketing and direct sales
Delayed hiring pushed investments into Q4/FY27
Q3'26DeliveredNon-Atlas ARR will continue to grow year over year
8% YoY growth in Q3, up from 7% in Q2
Q3'26DeliveredMid-twenties percentage growth for Atlas in the second half
Q3 hit 30%, Q4 guided to 27% - both above mid-twenties
Q1'26Exceeded10% operating margin at midpoint for FY26
Raised to 12% midpoint, citing revenue outperformance and expense timing
Q1'26Pending$50M multiyear headwind primarily in second half
Confirmed second-half weighting, no change to estimate
Q1'26PendingApp modernization to meaningfully contribute in FY27
Hired dedicated leader, still targeting FY27 timeline
Q1'26DeliveredContinued sales force productivity improvements
Confirmed 'good progress' and 'materially higher' productivity in strategic accounts
Q1'26PendingNon-Atlas business down high single digits for the year
Q1 came in ahead of expectations but maintaining full-year forecast unchanged
Q1'26DeliveredStable Atlas consumption growth compared to fiscal '25
Q1 consumption 'in line with expectations' after Q4 was 'ahead of expectations'
Q4'25MissedOperating margin expansion would slow due to investments
Q4 delivered 21% margin, above expectations due to revenue beat
Q4'25PendingSignificantly fewer mid-market customer additions
Called out as future impact, not yet measurable in Q4
Q4'25MissedNon-Atlas revenue sequential decline in Q4
Non-Atlas actually exceeded expectations due to multiyear deals
Q4'25Delivered$20M-$25M total IPv4 address purchases
Completed at $24M total, within guided range
Q4'25DeliveredContinue to see Atlas growth deceleration in Q4
Atlas growth dropped from 26% to 24% YoY as guided
Q4'25DeliveredQ4 would see 'typical seasonal slowdown in Atlas consumption'
Called out seasonal impact in Q4 as expected
Q3'25DeliveredMongoDB 8.0 general availability
Announced GA with 20-60% performance improvements
Q3'25DeliveredMAAP program general availability
Became generally available and expanded with new partner cohort
Q3'25PendingIPv4 address purchases of $20-25M in fiscal 2025
Started purchases in November, still on track for full amount
Q3'25Exceeded10% operating margin at midpoint for fiscal 2025
Now guiding 12.3% operating margin at midpoint
Q3'25DeliveredEA headwind from multi-year compare of roughly $40M
Called out $15M+ benefit this quarter vs year-ago, so still seeing headwind but smaller than expected
Q3'25ExceededStable Atlas consumption growth for fiscal 2025
Q2 and Q3 both came in ahead of expectations, though they won't raise assumptions
Q2'25ExceededNon-Atlas revenue to be down mid-single digits for year
Q2 non-Atlas beat expectations despite -13% YoY decline
Q2'25DeliveredAtlas consumption growth to slow down this year due to macro
Consumption was better than Q1 but still below original expectations, as guided
Q2'25DeliveredContinue investing judiciously while focusing on execution
Maintained investment levels while delivering better operating margins
Q2'25PendingFocus on three key areas: enterprise channel, legacy modernization, AI positioning
All three mentioned as ongoing priorities with some progress but too early to declare success
Q2'25DeliveredConfident in ability to continue winning new business for rest of year
Q2 had strong new business quarter with both Atlas and EA exceeding expectations
Q2'25DeliveredFine-tuned process and incentive structures for higher growth potential workloads
Management confirmed changes were implemented and well received by field teams
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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