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Management credibility scorecard

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG)

4 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q3'26) · latest call October 20, 2026
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100%
Kept of 16 resolved
16
Kept or exceeded
0
Missed
6
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q3'26October 20, 20268/122 medium, 2 low flags10Call sheet →
Q2'26July 16, 20264/122 high, 3 medium, 1 low flags30Call sheet →
Q1'262026-04-2111/122 medium, 4 low flags50Call sheet →
Q4'25January 22, 202610/126 low flags70Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q3'26PendingWe expect availability to extend to Japan in Q3
Q3 has now been reported, but the current transcript does not explicitly state whether SP stapler Japan availability was achieved; actual not stated on the call.
Q3'26PendingFull year 2026 da Vinci procedure growth within 13.5% to 15.5%, with an expectation to be closer to the midpoint
Full year period not yet ended; narrowed this quarter to 14%-15%, still expecting closer to midpoint, a revision not a resolution.
Q3'26DeliveredWe are still finalizing pricing for this initiative, and will provide additional quantification on our next earnings call
Quantified at 3-5% INA revenue-per-procedure impact this quarter, as promised.
Q2'26ExceededGross margin 67.5%-68.5% for 2026
Raised to 68%-69% but includes one-time tariff benefit
Q2'26PendingContinue to advance ROSE and EBUS programs
Mentioned 'making strong progress' but no concrete milestones achieved
Q2'26PendingFull year 2026 da Vinci procedure growth 13.5%-15.5%
Maintained range but now guiding to midpoint, suggesting lower confidence
Q2'26DeliveredJapan reimbursement changes effective June 1
Confirmed went into effect June 1 with 7 new procedures covered
Q2'26PendingSP stapler to move into measured launch in Korea and Europe in Q2
Mentioned planning to move to measured launch but no confirmation it happened
Q2'26DeliveredWe expect to increase da Vinci 5 Force Feedback instrument availability in Q2
FDA clearance received in March, broader availability confirmed in Q2
Q1'26DeliveredJapan reimbursement update by Q1 call
7 new procedures reimbursed starting June 2026
Q1'26ExceededXiR refurbished system launch
34 systems placed vs 2 prior year, ahead of expectations
Q1'26DeliveredCardiac clearance on da Vinci 5
FDA cleared cardiac procedures in Q1
Q1'26DeliveredSP stapler broad launch
Moved to broad launch in Q1, used in 40% of expected cases
Q1'26Deliveredda Vinci 5 international expansion in H2 2025
40 OUS systems placed in Q1, Europe and Japan launched
Q1'26PendingForce Feedback broader availability following manufacturing scale
Still constrained through Q2 with gradual improvement - manufacturing ramp slower than implied
Q4'25DeliveredQ3: Going direct in Italy, Spain, Portugal 'first half of 2026'
Now closing by end of Q1 2026, ahead of schedule
Q4'25DeliveredQ3: Updated 2025 da Vinci procedure growth to 17-17.5%
Actual growth was ~18%, at high end of raised guidance
Q4'25DeliveredQ3: 'Continued progress in building industrial scale'
Scaled dV5 manufacturing throughout the year, placed 870 systems
Q4'25DeliveredQ3: 'SP stapler initial launch' progress
Moved from initial to broad launch this quarter with 'very positive' feedback
Q4'25DeliveredQ3: 'Regulatory submissions for nipple-sparing mastectomy'
Received 510(k) clearance for NSM and other general surgery procedures
Q4'25ExceededQ3: 'First nine da Vinci 5 systems in Japan and Europe'
Placed 43 dV5 systems OUS in Q4, mostly in Europe
Q4'25DeliveredQ3: 'Working closely with customers to support analyses of Force Feedback impact'
Published Force Feedback thoracic surgery study showing 20% reduction in peak force application
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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