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Management credibility scorecard

Home Depot (HD)

4 quarters tracked (Q3'25 to Q2'27) · latest call August 18, 2026
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45%
Kept of 11 resolved
5
Kept or exceeded
6
Missed
6
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'27August 18, 20268/121 high, 3 medium, 1 low flags00Call sheet →
Q1'26May 19, 20268/124 medium, 4 low flags10Call sheet →
Q4'25February 24, 202610/124 medium, 2 low flags41Call sheet →
Q3'252025-11-187/125 medium, 2 low flags05Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q1'26PendingOperations experience manager role to enhance fulfillment experience
Role implemented, early results showing reduced cancellations but no specific metrics
Q1'26PendingTotal sales growth of between approximately 2.5% and 4.5%
Q1 at 4.8% suggests upper end of range achievable
Q1'26PendingExpect comp sales to range between flat to 2% growth
Q1 at 0.6% puts them in range but toward lower end
Q1'26DeliveredCross-sell to reach something like $400M run rate this year
Confirmed $400M run rate achieved, now targeting double next year
Q1'26PendingComplete MET transition in all stores by end of fiscal 2026
On track with 1,000 stores completed, still targeting full rollout
Q1'26PendingSRS to deliver mid-single-digit percent organic sales growth for 2026
Reaffirmed from Q4 guidance, no update on progress
Q4'25ExceededContinue investing in Pro capabilities and delivery speed
Achieved 2 Sigma delivery performance and rolled out real-time tracking
Q4'25DeliveredAdjusted operating margin ~13% for 2025
Delivered 13.1%, within guidance range despite challenges
Q4'25DeliveredTotal sales growth ~3% including GMS impact
Delivered 3.2% with GMS contributing ~$2B as expected
Q4'25MissedSRS mid-single digit organic growth for 2025
Delivered low single-digit growth, reset expectation to 2026
Q4'25DeliveredFiscal 2025 comp sales slightly positive
Delivered +0.3% total company, +0.5% US, met lowered guidance
Q3'25MissedGross margin essentially flat at 33.4%
Revised down to 33.2% due to acquisition mix impact.
Q3'25MissedOperating margin of approximately 13% for fiscal 2025
Revised down from 13.4% due to GMS impact and volume shortfall.
Q3'25MissedSecond half demand pickup expectation
Management explicitly stated 'expected increase in demand in the third quarter did not materialize.'
Q3'25MissedSRS mid-single digit growth trajectory
Downgraded to low single digit growth, flat Q3 comp despite 'exceeded expectations' narrative in Q2.
Q3'25MissedTrade credit rollout continuing more broadly
Still only 'several thousand' pros enrolled vs millions of customers after multiple quarters of promises.
Q3'25PendingFiscal 2025 comp sales growth of approximately positive 1%
YTD running below 1% pace, needs Q4 improvement to deliver. Guidance reaffirmed as 'slightly positive.'
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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