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Management credibility scorecard

Grab Holdings (GRAB)

3 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q2'26) · latest call August 3, 2026
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100%
Kept of 6 resolved - limited history
6
Kept or exceeded
0
Missed
7
Still pending

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26August 3, 20264/121 high, 2 medium flags00Call sheet →
Q1'26May 4, 20269/124 medium, 2 low flags10Call sheet →
Q4'25February 11, 202610/123 medium, 3 low flags50Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26Pending"We remain on track for our financial services segment to achieve adjusted EBITDA break-even in the second half of this year."
Management reiterated approach to profitability but gave no concrete Q2 results to confirm progress
Q1'26Pending20% revenue CAGR 2025-2028
2026 guidance implies they're tracking ahead of this target
Q1'26DeliveredContinue autonomous vehicle pilots in Singapore
Transitioned to paying public operations, 40K+ kilometers driven
Q1'26Pending1.5 billion EBITDA by 2028
Not mentioned this quarter, notable silence on 3-year targets
Q1'26PendingMobility margins to stabilize within historical range
Reiterated despite Indonesia regulatory overhang
Q1'26Pending$2B loan book by end 2026
On track with $1.3B current level and strong disbursement growth
Q1'26PendingFinancial Services EBITDA breakeven in second half 2026
Reiterated exactly same language, no incremental confidence despite strong Q1
Q4'25PendingFinancial Services segment breakeven in second half 2026
Reiterated commitment with banks specifically breaking even Q4 2026
Q4'25DeliveredContinue sequential EBITDA improvement
16th consecutive quarter of EBITDA expansion achieved
Q4'25DeliveredAdjusted EBITDA guidance $490-500M for full year 2025
Hit $500M exactly, top end of range
Q4'25DeliveredBoth Mobility and Delivery segments on track to exit at record GMV levels
Management confirmed both segments hit records in Q4
Q4'25DeliveredFull year on-demand GMV growth to accelerate from 2024 levels
Confirmed acceleration with record GMV levels achieved
Q4'25ExceededFinancial services loan portfolio to exceed $1 billion by end 2025
Hit $1.3B gross loan portfolio, $1.2B net - beat by 20-30%
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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