Fastly (FSLY)

Management Credibility Scorecard · 5 quarters tracked (Q1'25 - Q1'26)
Last updated May 6, 2026 · latest call analyzed
96%
Kept of 27 resolved
26
Kept / Exceeded
1
Missed
5
Still Pending

Grade History

QuarterDisclosure QualityFinancial Quality
Q1'25 →BB
Q2'25 →B+B+
Q3'25 →BB-
Q4'25 →B+B
Q1'26 →B+B+

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedPromiseStatus
Q1'26✅Disciplined OpEx management while investing in growth
OpEx in line with expectations, operating leverage demonstrated
delivered
Q1'26✅APJ investment and expansion
Singapore office opened, key leadership hires completed
delivered
Q1'26✅Gross margin expansion on revenue growth
65.1% achieved vs 64% guidance, record high
delivered
Q1'26✅Security acceleration continuing
47% growth vs 32% last quarter, fourth consecutive quarter acceleration
exceeded
Q1'26⏳Free cash flow $40-50M for 2026
Maintained despite higher CapEx - will test execution
pending
Q1'26✅Infrastructure CapEx 10-12% of revenue
Maintained guidance despite supply chain pressures
delivered
Q1'26✅Revenue guidance $700-720M for 2026
Raised to $710-725M, $5M midpoint increase
exceeded
Q4'25✅Cash CapEx of 10-11% for 2025
Came in at 9% due to $10M timing shift to 2026
delivered
Q4'25✅2025 free cash flow of $25-35M
Delivered $45.8M, beat high end by $10.8M
exceeded
Q4'25✅2025 gross margins between 60-61%
Delivered 60.9%, above range
exceeded
Q4'25✅2025 revenue guidance of $610-614M
Delivered $624M, beat high end by $10M
exceeded
Q4'25✅Q4 operating profit of $8-12M
Delivered $21.2M, beat high end by $9.2M
exceeded
Q4'25✅Q4 gross margin of 61.5% +/- 50bps
Delivered 64%, beat midpoint by 250bps
exceeded
Q4'25✅Q4 revenue guidance of $159-163M
Delivered $172.6M, beat high end by $9.6M
exceeded
Q3'25⏳International expansion with targeted 2026 impact
Hired APJ leader, seeing early wins but still expecting main impact in 2026
pending
Q3'25✅Operating expenses to decline sequentially in Q3
OpEx came in better than expected with lower discretionary spend
delivered
Q3'25✅Gross margins to improve 50bps in Q3 to 59.5%
Delivered 62.8%, 330bps above guidance midpoint
exceeded
Q3'25✅Positive free cash flow for full year 2025
Raised guidance to $25-35M range, well above breakeven promise
delivered
Q3'25✅Operating profit during the second half of 2025
$11.6M Q3 operating profit significantly ahead of timeline
exceeded
Q3'25✅Double-digit growth rates for Q3 revenue
Delivered 15% YoY vs promise of double-digit - exceeded expectation
delivered
Q2'25✅Package deals contributing to committed revenue growth
RPO record high at $315M, package renewals up 130%
delivered
Q2'25✅Revenue from top 10 to remain in low-mid 30s
Hit 31% vs 33% prior, within promised range
delivered
Q2'25✅Pricing environment stabilizing to high teens decline
Called out 'favorable pricing' suggesting better than high teens stabilization
exceeded
Q2'25⏳Security growth to outpace market in back half
15% growth in Q2 is good start, but market rates are mid-teens so need to sustain
pending
Q2'25⏳Operating profit in second half of 2025
Reiterated commitment, Q3 guidance shows path to positive operating income
pending
Q2'25✅Double-digit growth rates year-over-year for Q2
Hit 12% growth vs 8% in Q1, exceeded guidance range
delivered
Q1'25❌Security portfolio expansion would drive growth acceleration
Security growth slowed to 7% vs 17% normalized last quarter despite complete portfolio
missed
Q1'25✅Operating loss $15M-$9M for 2025
Raised guidance to $12M-$6M loss after Q1 beat
exceeded
Q1'25✅Free cash flow negative $20M to negative $10M in 2025
Q1 delivered +$8.2M, now guiding negative $10M to breakeven for full year
exceeded
Q1'25⏳Gross margins approximately flat plus/minus 50bps for 2025
Q1 came in 57.3%, tracking well vs ~58% full year guidance
pending
Q1'25✅2025 revenue guidance of $575M-$585M (7% growth)
Raised to $585M-$595M (9% growth) - beat by $10M at midpoint
exceeded
Q1'25✅Revenue concentration will stabilize in low to mid-30s
Hit 33% in Q1, within the promised range though at high end
delivered
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Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Grades, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.