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Management credibility scorecard

Eaton (ETN)

4 quarters tracked (Q3'25 to Q2'26) · latest call July 31, 2026
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95%
Kept of 19 resolved
18
Kept or exceeded
1
Missed
7
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26July 31, 20267/122 high, 4 medium, 1 low flags41Call sheet →
Q1'26May 5, 202612/121 medium, 6 low flags10Call sheet →
Q4'25February 3, 202610/12-70Call sheet →
Q3'252025-11-0410/121 high, 2 medium, 4 low flags60Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26MissedMaintain aerospace double-digit growth
Only 7% organic in Q2, relied on acquisition for total growth
Q2'26ExceededOrganic growth 9-11% for full year
Raised to 11-13%, already at 14% in Q2
Q2'26PendingExit 2026 with margins north of 30%
At 27.5% now, needs 250+ bps in H2
Q2'26DeliveredClose UltraPCS and Boyd ahead of schedule
Both closed in Q1 as stated
Q2'26PendingBoyd $1.7B or better full year revenue
Raised to $1.8B, Q2 at $432M suggests overdelivery likely
Q2'26DeliveredSequential margin improvement starting Q2
27.5% vs 25.6% in Q1, up 190 bps as promised
Q2'26ExceededElectrical Americas organic growth 13% midpoint
Delivered 18% organic, crushed it
Q1'26PendingMobility spin by Q1 2027
On track, more specific timeline than before
Q1'26ExceededBoyd to deliver $1.7B revenue in 2026
Now saying 'meet or exceed' after strong Q1, upgraded confidence
Q1'26Pending32% margin target by 2030 for Americas
Explicitly recommitted to this long-term target
Q1'26PendingExit 2026 with margins north of 30% in Americas
Reaffirmed this specific target, no hedging language
Q1'26PendingSequential margin improvement starting from Q2
Guiding +150 bps Q1 to Q2, maintaining this commitment from last quarter
Q1'26PendingQ1 will be the trough for Electrical Americas margins
Q1 came in at 25.6%, they're guiding 150 bps improvement for Q2 - tracking to deliver
Q4'25DeliveredUltra PCS closing by end of 2025
Closed in January 2026 as guided
Q4'25Delivered2025 adjusted EPS guidance $11.97-$12.17
Reaffirmed in Q3, delivered on commitment
Q4'25DeliveredAerospace margin expansion continuing
24.1% margins, up 120 bps YoY, on track to 27% by 2030 target
Q4'25ExceededBook-to-bill above 1.1 for combined electrical
Achieved 1.2 quarterly, 1.1 LTM with accelerating momentum
Q4'25DeliveredStrong momentum in Q4 orders
Q4 orders up more than 50% - confirmed strong October and pipeline visibility
Q4'25ExceededData center orders accelerating 70% in Q3
Delivered 200% growth in Q4 - massive beat on acceleration
Q4'25DeliveredAll-time record level of orders booked in 2025
Confirmed: record orders with 16% LTM growth acceleration in Electrical Americas
Q3'25ExceededUltra PCS closing first half 2026
Now expect Q4 2025 close, earlier than guided
Q3'25DeliveredFibrebond exceeding initial expectations
Revenue run rate jumped from $378M to $560M since acquisition
Q3'25ExceededStrong order acceleration in Q3
EA orders accelerated to +7% LTM from +2%, with strong Q4 visibility
Q3'25DeliveredTariff costs offset by end of year
Management confirmed tariff costs now covered and not dilutive to margins
Q3'25ExceededBook-to-bill higher than 1 for the year
Delivered 1.2 book-to-bill in Q3, raised confidence for full year
Q3'25DeliveredAdding capacity in second half to support growth
6 facilities ramping as promised, though with admitted inefficiencies
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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