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Management credibility scorecard

Domino's Pizza (DPZ)

5 quarters tracked (Q3'25 to Q3'26) · latest call October 13, 2026
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56%
Kept of 18 resolved
10
Kept or exceeded
8
Missed
16
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q3'26October 13, 20268/122 high, 2 medium flags20Call sheet →
Q2'26July 20, 20263/124 high, 4 medium flags13Call sheet →
Q1'26April 27, 20266/121 high, 3 medium, 2 low flags13Call sheet →
Q4'25February 23, 20269/121 high, 4 medium, 1 low flags42Call sheet →
Q3'252025-10-149/121 medium, 5 low flags20Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q3'26DeliveredNew signature pizza innovation to launch later in Q3 2026
Period ended; product ('The Domino') launched in Q3, though only for the final week of the quarter.
Q3'26DeliveredTicket drag from lapping Stuffed Crust expected to be lower in Q3
Period ended; management confirmed 'our ticket trend improved from the second quarter' in Q3.
Q3'26PendingOperating income growth of mid-to-high single digits for FY2026
Full-year period not ended; cut to mid-single digits this quarter.
Q3'26PendingGlobal retail sales growth up mid-single digits for FY2026
Full-year period not ended; cut to low-to-mid single digits, targeting the midpoint, this quarter.
Q3'26PendingApproximately 800 net new international stores for FY2026
Reaffirmed unchanged at approximately 800 this quarter; on track per guidance.
Q3'26PendingApproximately 175 net new US stores for FY2026
Full-year period not ended; cut to 125-150 stores this quarter, the second consecutive reduction.
Q3'26PendingInternational same-store sales to be up low single digits, inclusive of World Cup benefit
Full-year period not ended; cut to 'approximately flat' this quarter due to DPE pressure. A clear downward revision.
Q3'26PendingUS same-store sales to be up low single digits for FY2026
Full-year period not yet ended; guidance revised to 'towards the low end' of that range this quarter. Revision, not a miss yet.
Q2'26PendingInternational same-store sales low single digits
Q2 at -0.1% slightly better than Q1 but still negative
Q2'26PendingProduct innovation in second half particularly around pizza
New product coming Q3, but Q2's premium series already failed
Q2'26DeliveredContinue to drive meaningful cash to shareholders
$231M in buybacks YTD, maintaining pace despite operational challenges
Q2'26MissedDrive order counts while maintaining healthy ticket
Order counts grew but ticket collapsed, breaking the 'barbell strategy'
Q2'26Missed175+ net stores in US for 2026
Already downgraded to 'approximately 175' citing franchisee profitability pressure
Q2'26PendingChanges in 2026 marketing calendar for second half
Best Deal Ever with Stuffed Crust launched Q3, but too early to assess impact
Q2'26MissedDeliver 3% same-store sales in the U.S. for 2026
Q2 at 0.1% makes 3% for full year mathematically impossible without 5%+ comps in H2
Q1'26PendingContinued growth on aggregator platforms, particularly DoorDash
Still ramping but delivery comps went negative - aggregator boost may be fading
Q1'26DeliveredApproximately 800 international net stores
Actually increased from original guidance, driven by fewer DPE closures expected
Q1'26Pending175+ net U.S. stores
Maintained guidance despite weaker fundamentals, shows franchisee confidence intact
Q1'26MissedOperating income growth of approximately 8%
Cut to mid- to high single digits, directly tied to sales disappointment
Q1'26MissedGlobal retail sales growth of approximately 6%
Revised down to mid-single digits due to weaker comp outlook
Q1'26PendingInternational same store sales of 1% to 2%
Maintained low single digit guidance but Q1 was negative 0.4% - concerning start
Q1'26MissedU.S. comp for the year to be 3%
Guided to 'positive low single digits' instead - major miss on key metric despite Russell still calling 3% his 'objective'
Q4'25MissedApp versions of new ecommerce platform by end of year
Website launched but apps now targeted for end of 2026, timeline slipped
Q4'25DeliveredDoorDash to be meaningful contributor to US comps in Q4
Called out DoorDash as contributor to Q4 same store sales growth
Q4'25DeliveredOperating income growth of approximately 8% excluding FX and one-times
Achieved 8.1% excluding currency and refranchising gains
Q4'25Missed175 plus net stores in US (Q3 2025 guidance)
Delivered only 172 net stores, slightly below 175+ commitment
Q4'25DeliveredInternational same-store sales growth to be 1% to 2%, could tilt towards high end
Delivered 1.9% for full year, in upper half of range
Q4'25DeliveredUS comp for the year to be 3% (Q3 2025 guidance)
Achieved exactly 3.0% for full year 2025 as guided
Q3'25PendingApps rollout by end of year
Reaffirmed timeline, website and mobile web now live
Q3'25DeliveredOperating income growth approximately 8% excluding FX
11.8% growth in Q3 excluding FX, ahead of expectations
Q3'25DeliveredInternational same-store sales growth 1% to 2%
Q3 at 1.7%, within range but toward lower end
Q3'25Pending175+ net stores in the US
Added 29 in Q3, running at proper pace with strong pipeline
Q3'25PendingDoorDash to be meaningful driver to US comp in back half
Pushing impact timeline into 2026, suggests slower ramp than originally expected
Q3'25PendingUS comp for the year to be 3%, higher in second half due to timing of initiatives
On track with Q3 at 5.2%, still guiding 3% for full year despite strong Q3
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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