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Management credibility scorecard

Comcast (CMCSA)

3 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q2'26) · latest call July 23, 2026
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100%
Kept of 12 resolved
12
Kept or exceeded
0
Missed
6
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · accretor

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26July 23, 20265/123 high, 3 medium, 2 low flags30Call sheet →
Q1'26April 23, 20268/123 medium, 3 low flags40Call sheet →
Q4'25January 29, 20267/123 high, 4 medium, 1 low flags50Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26PendingQ1: 'Majority' of broadband base migrated to new pricing by year-end
Now at 40% of base migrated, on track but not accelerating
Q2'26DeliveredQ1: Business mobile MVNO launch with T-Mobile
'Recently launched' per Jason, though no metrics on uptake yet
Q2'26PendingQ1: Converting 'significant majority' of free wireless lines to paid
Early cohorts tracking to plan per management, but no specific conversion rate disclosed
Q2'26PendingQ1: 'relief as we exit this year' on ARPU and EBITDA pressure
Maintained this view but added 'modest' qualifier, suggesting lower confidence
Q2'26DeliveredQ1: 'incremental pressure on broadband ARPU for another quarter'
ARPU declined 3.8% vs 3.1% in Q1, accurately forecasted the deterioration
Q2'26ExceededQ1: 'Peacock expected to approach profitability' in Q2
Delivered $189M profit vs 'approaching' profitability, though already hedging on sustainability
Q1'26PendingReturn leverage to 2.3x post-Versant spin
Currently at 2.3x but will tick up as Versant exits calculation
Q1'26DeliveredNBA would create peak dilution in first season
Q1 had 50% of games and peak EBITDA dilution as promised
Q1'26ExceededEpic Universe to drive Orlando performance
Parks EBITDA up 33% YoY, hotel rates up 20%, clear Epic effect
Q1'26PendingPeacock losses to meaningfully improve in 2026
Loss improved from -$552M to -$432M but still claiming profitability next quarter
Q1'26DeliveredIncremental EBITDA pressure over next couple quarters
C&P EBITDA down 4.7%, consistent with guidance
Q1'26DeliveredBroadband ARPU pressure would 'intensify in early part of the year'
Called -3.1% ARPU decline and warned of more pressure in Q2
Q4'25DeliveredSimplified pricing and packaging rollout across base
~40% of base now on gig-plus tiers, strong adoption of five-year price guarantee
Q4'25DeliveredNetwork upgrade benefits including reduced trouble calls
20% trouble call reduction and 35% repair minute reduction where FDX deployed
Q4'25DeliveredPeacock losses to improve meaningfully in 2025
Full-year losses improved over $700M as promised, despite NBA rights absorption
Q4'25ExceededEpic Universe scaling to drive higher attendance and per caps
Theme parks EBITDA accelerated to +24% growth, crossed $1B quarterly milestone
Q4'25PendingFree wireless lines providing meaningful monetization opportunity in 2026
Still on track for H2 2026 conversion, but no specific conversion rate guidance provided
Q4'25DeliveredContinued EBITDA pressure over next several quarters from broadband pivot
Q4 C&P EBITDA declined 4.5% vs 3.7% in Q3, worsening as predicted
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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