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Call sheet · Q2'26

Sherwin-Williams (SHW)

Q2'26 earnings call · held July 28, 2026 · compared with the Q1'26 call · management-credibility review
6/12
Disclosure score
1 high, 4 medium, 2 low flags
Financial quality
Bottom line
The real story isn't the 8% price hike, it's the 57 store closures that management buried in the prepared remarks, the most aggressive pruning in decades while still claiming growth. The market sees steady execution but I see a company quietly restructuring its footprint while using Souvenir and non-operating items to mask consumer brands weakness. The binding constraint isn't demand or inflation, it's their inability to pass through costs without hemorrhaging volume, hence the surgical store cuts. Heidi's tell: 'We know growth will need to come from what we do, not from what the market gives us.' My view changes if Q3 shows volume growth without store closures or if they detail those CBG non-operating items.

The 30-second version

  • Store closures quietly accelerating: 57 stores shuttered YTD vs 'handful' historically, but sales still up mid-single digits
  • 8% September price increase reveals inflation is worse than guided
  • Souvenir acquisition masking core consumer brands weakness

What changed this quarter

MetricQ1'26Q2'26Change
Consolidated Sales GrowthHigh single digits (Q1)High single digits (Q2)Stable growth maintained
Adjusted EPS$2.85 (+5% YoY)$3.14 (+10% YoY)+500 bps acceleration
PSG Sales GrowthMid single digitsMid single digitsConsistent execution
PSG Segment Margin24.2%24.6%+40 bps expansion
CBG Adjusted Margin22.4%24.5%+210 bps surge
PCG Sales GrowthSlightly above mid single digitsLow single digitsMaterial deceleration
Operating Cash Flow$1.35B (+$200M YoY)$1.64B (+$235M YoY)+21% improvement
Free Cash Flow ConversionNot disclosed86%New disclosure
Net Debt/EBITDA2.5x2.4x10 bps deleveraging
Store Count Net Change-6 stores (21 opens, 27 closes)-12 stores (45 opens, 57 closes)Accelerating closures

Accountability tracked

7 new promises made4 narrative shifts flagged5 prior promises scored
Inside the full report
The complete write-up covers the full promise ledger with kept/missed calls, disclosure-quality scoring, the metrics-vanished check, verification items, and the questions to ask next quarter.
Read the full SHW Q2'26 report Subscribe
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Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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