Toast (TOST)

Management Credibility Scorecard · 5 quarters tracked (Q1'25 - Q1'26)
Last updated May 7, 2026 · latest call analyzed
95%
Kept of 22 resolved
21
Kept / Exceeded
1
Missed
8
Still Pending

Grade History

QuarterDisclosure QualityFinancial Quality
Q1'25 →B+A
Q2'25 →B+B+
Q3'25 →B+B
Q4'25 →B-B
Q1'26 →B+B

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedPromiseStatus
Q1'26✅AI efficiency gains freeing up capital to invest in growth
60% engineering velocity gains and 40% support resolution enabling reinvestment
delivered
Q1'26⏳Toast IQ evolution from assistant to automating workflows
Still working on this, launched marketing agent but broader workflow automation still in development
pending
Q1'26✅Expand account management team
Mentioned investing more in account management enabled by AI efficiencies in support
delivered
Q1'26✅Continue to scale location count and grow ARPU internationally
International business grew healthy clip in 2025 on both locations and ARPU
delivered
Q1'26✅Toast Go 3 handheld launch internationally
Launched internationally as promised, differentiating platform
delivered
Q1'26✅Drive-thru product launch planned for later this year (2025)
Actually launched Toast for Drive-Thru in Q1 2026, ahead of timeline
exceeded
Q4'25✅Margins flat to slightly up year-over-year in 2026 (Q3)
Reaffirmed 2026 margin expectations despite new memory chip headwind
delivered
Q4'25❌Usage-based monetization for Toast IQ similar to GPT (Q3)
Walked back to 'it's early' on monetization-no usage-based pricing implemented
missed
Q4'25✅Toast Capital program remains healthy with defaults in line with expectations (Q3)
Confirmed defaults remain within risk guardrails, contributed $51M gross profit
delivered
Q4'25✅Continue to grow net adds in 2025 vs 2024 (Q3)
Delivered record 30,000 net adds, up every quarter vs prior year
exceeded
Q4'25✅On pace to reach $100M ARR in new TAMs (Q3)
Confirmed $100M ARR milestone achieved across enterprise/international/retail
delivered
Q4'25⏳International SaaS ARPU up 20% year-over-year (Q3)
No Q4 international ARPU growth disclosed-likely missed or decelerated significantly
pending
Q3'25✅Continue to gain market share in core SMB business
Management reported share gains in nearly every SMB market
delivered
Q3'25✅Stock-based comp to be in low double digits as % of recurring gross profit
14% in Q3, down from 20% year ago, trending toward target
delivered
Q3'25✅Toast Capital contribution to remain in 10 basis point range
Hit 11 bps in Q3, above the range
exceeded
Q3'25✅International SaaS ARPU growth
Disclosed 20% YoY growth for first time
delivered
Q3'25⏳More net adds in 2025 versus 2024
Currently tracking well with record adds in H1, but Q3 sequential decline noted
pending
Q3'25⏳New TAMs on track to surpass $100 million in ARR collectively by end of year
Still on track per Q3 commentary, will be measured in Q4 results
pending
Q2'25✅Stock-based comp in low double digits % of recurring GP
At 14% in Q2, down from 20% year ago
delivered
Q2'25✅Medium-term margin targets
Hit 30-35% target ahead of plan with 35% in Q2
exceeded
Q2'25⏳Sous Chef GA 'later this year'
Timeline became vaguer - now 'at some point later this year'
pending
Q2'25⏳More location net adds in 2025 vs 2024
On track based on Q2 record, reiterated guidance
pending
Q2'25✅Cross 10,000 locations in new segments in 2025
Hit this milestone in Q2, ahead of schedule
delivered
Q2'25✅Record net adds in Q2
Delivered 8,500 vs 6,000+ in Q1
exceeded
Q1'25⏳Free cash flow to broadly mirror adjusted EBITDA in 2025
Maintained this guidance from Q4 2024
pending
Q1'25✅Toast Capital bad debt to grow off lower base as program scales
Acknowledged defaults will rise but remain in expected range
delivered
Q1'25✅Retail vertical dedicated sales team scaling
Confirmed they built dedicated retail sales team as planned
delivered
Q1'25✅International SaaS ARPU growth through platform expansion
Guest attach rates doubled for recent international locations
delivered
Q1'25✅Medium-term margin goals of 30-35% adjusted EBITDA
Hit 32% in Q1, ahead of their medium-term target timeline
exceeded
Q1'25⏳Surpass 10,000 locations across enterprise, international, and retail in 2025
Reiterated this target from Q4 2024 earnings call
pending
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Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Grades, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.