Spectrum Brands Holdings (SPB)

Management Credibility Scorecard · 5 quarters tracked (Q2'25 - Q2'26)
Last updated May 7, 2026 · latest call analyzed
80%
Kept of 20 resolved
16
Kept / Exceeded
4
Missed
10
Still Pending

Grade History

QuarterDisclosure QualityFinancial Quality
Q2'25 →B+B-
Q3'25 →B+B
Q4'25 →B+B
Q1'26 →BB
Q2'26 →B+B

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedPromiseStatus
Q2'26✅S/4HANA implementation in EMEA Pet business
Went live March 30, 2026 with $6M sales pull-forward for inventory preparation
delivered
Q2'26✅Adjusted free cash flow ~50% of EBITDA conversion
Q1 delivered $66M FCF, maintaining 50% conversion guidance for full year
delivered
Q2'26⏳Net sales flat to up low single digits for fiscal 2026
YTD tracking ahead of guidance with Q2 growth, but maintaining conservative outlook
pending
Q2'26✅HPC business would improve profitability in fiscal 2026
EBITDA margin recovering: 6.4% Q1 to 3.4% Q2 on improving base
delivered
Q2'26⏳Home & Garden growth weighted to second half of fiscal year
Strong Q2 performance but management still expects back-half weighting for full year
pending
Q2'26✅Global Pet Care business would return to growth in Q1 2026
Pet grew 8.3% in Q1, accelerated to 11.2% in Q2 though includes timing benefits
delivered
Q1'26❌Address remaining $10M corporate cost headwind
No progress made, still have $10M to address with vague timeline
missed
Q1'26⏳Adjusted EBITDA expected to grow low single digits
Q1 essentially flat, need H2 improvement
pending
Q1'26⏳Full-year net sales flat to up low single digits
Q1 down 3.3% but guidance maintained
pending
Q1'26✅Expect improvement to overall profitability in HPC business in fiscal 2026
HPC EBITDA up $5M to $20.7M with margin expansion to 9.7%
delivered
Q1'26⏳Home and Garden growth would be weighted toward second half of the year
Q1 decline was expected, waiting for H2 performance
pending
Q1'26✅Pet would lead the way with growth in first fiscal quarter
Global Pet Care up 8.3% in Q1 as forecasted
delivered
Q1'26⏳Both Global Pet Care and Home and Garden businesses would return to growth in fiscal 2026
Pet Care delivered growth in Q1 as promised, Home & Garden growth still expected in back half
pending
Q4'25⏳Targeting $20-25M additional pricing and supplier concessions to cover incremental 2026 exposure
Work in progress, some mitigation already in place
pending
Q4'25✅HPC continuing to build out non-Chinese sourcing throughout remainder of fiscal 2025
Diversification efforts ongoing, supply chain significantly restructured
delivered
Q4'25✅GPC having non-Chinese sourcing alternatives for predominance of purchases by calendar year-end
Chinese exposure cut by ~50%, on track for further reduction
delivered
Q4'25✅Reduce costs by over $50M in fiscal 2025
Achieved through reduction in force and operational efficiencies
delivered
Q4'25✅Deliver approximately $160M in free cash flow fiscal 2025
Delivered $171M, beating by $11M
exceeded
Q3'25✅Running business for cash flow generation for remainder of fiscal 2025
$160M free cash flow target maintained despite revenue disruption
delivered
Q3'25✅Home & Garden expects to be virtually out of China by fiscal year-end
Reconfirmed with 'relatively small negligible impact' qualification
delivered
Q3'25✅HPC transitioning to mid-40s percentage non-Chinese sourcing by calendar year-end
On track, with 35% by fiscal year-end confirmed
delivered
Q3'25✅Cost reduction efforts saving approximately $10 million annually
Delivered $50M in Q3 alone, 5x the original commitment
exceeded
Q3'25✅GPC having non-Chinese sourcing alternatives for predominance of purchases by calendar year-end
Upgraded to 'all but $20M' which is more specific and aggressive than 'predominance'
exceeded
Q3'25⏳Targeting free cash flow of approximately $160 million
Reiterated unchanged despite operational disruptions - confidence signal
pending
Q2'25⏳Free cash flow target of approximately $160 million
New promise for $6-7 per share. Became their primary guidance metric after withdrawing earnings framework.
pending
Q2'25⏳35% to 40% of HPC US-bound products sourced outside China by fiscal year-end
Reaffirmed at 35% now, targeting 45% by calendar year-end. On track but timeline extended.
pending
Q2'25✅HPC transaction timeframe taking longer due to geopolitical factors
Explicitly said 'unlikely we will find mutually agreeable M&A transaction by end of fiscal year' - delivered on the warning.
delivered
Q2'25❌Adjusted EBITDA to grow mid to high single digits
EBITDA down $24M ex-investment income in Q2. Withdrew earnings framework entirely.
missed
Q2'25❌Low single-digit sales growth for fiscal 2025
Organic sales down 4.6% in Q2. Withdrew all sales guidance due to 'unprecedented global tariff conditions.'
missed
Q2'25❌We expect to mitigate the vast majority of any currently announced tariff impacts in the year
Completely abandoned this promise when tariffs escalated to 45-70%. Now running business for cash flow, not earnings.
missed
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Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Grades, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.