JFrog (FROG)

Management Credibility Scorecard · 5 quarters tracked (Q1'25 - Q1'26)
Last updated 2026-05-08 · latest call analyzed
100%
Kept of 26 resolved
26
Kept / Exceeded
0
Missed
4
Still Pending

Grade History

QuarterDisclosure QualityFinancial Quality
Q1'25 →B+B
Q2'25 →B+B+
Q3'25 →B+B+
Q4'25 →B+B
Q1'26 →B+B-

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedPromiseStatus
Q1'26✅Annual gross margins in the range of 82% to 83%
Q1 gross margin of 83.8%, maintained 82-83% guide for year
delivered
Q1'26⏳Convert usage overages into annual commitments
Still working on conversion, explicitly excluded from guidance until converted
pending
Q1'26✅Security core to be meaningful growth driver
Security now over 10% of ARR, up from 7% of revenue last year
delivered
Q1'26⏳Revenue range of $623M to $628M for 2026
Raised to $628-632M based on Q1 outperformance
pending
Q1'26✅Net dollar retention rate to be 117% for 2026
Achieved 120% in Q1 and raised floor to 118%
exceeded
Q1'26✅Estimate full year 2026 baseline cloud growth to be 30% to 32%
Delivered 50% Q1 cloud growth and raised guide to 33-35%
exceeded
Q4'25✅Baseline cloud growth 40-42% for 2025
Delivered ~45% for full year, above range
delivered
Q4'25✅Annual gross margins 82.5-83.5% for 2025
Q4 at 83.7%, within guided range
delivered
Q4'25✅Net dollar retention above 116% for 2025
Delivered 119%, beat guidance
exceeded
Q4'25✅Full year 2025 revenues $523-525M
Delivered $531.8M, beat high end by $6.8M
exceeded
Q4'25✅Q4 non-GAAP operating profit $21-22M
Delivered $25.7M, beat high end by $3.7M
exceeded
Q4'25✅Q4 revenues $136.5-138.5M
Delivered $145.3M, beat by $6.8-8.8M
exceeded
Q3'25✅Security to be material part of business in 2025
Multiple 7-figure security wins including $9M UK deal, driving mega-deal growth
delivered
Q3'25✅Focus on converting customers with usage above minimum commitments
Strategy clearly working based on cloud acceleration and commitment growth
delivered
Q3'25✅Continue to derisk outlook by excluding largest opportunities
Ed confirmed continuing same derisking philosophy for Q4 guidance
delivered
Q3'25✅Annual gross margins to remain between 82.5% and 83.5%
Q3 gross margin of 83.9% within guided range
delivered
Q3'25✅NDR to remain in mid-teens during 2025
Raised guidance to above 116%, actual Q3 delivery was 118%
exceeded
Q3'25✅Full year 2025 baseline cloud growth guidance of 34-36%
Raised to 40-42%, beating midpoint by 500 bps due to conversion execution
exceeded
Q2'25✅Hugging Face partnership to help secure open source ML models
Confirmed scanning of 1.5 million models, partnership active
delivered
Q2'25✅Annual gross margins between 82.5-83.5%
Q2 gross margin of 83.1% within guided range
delivered
Q2'25✅Cloud growth baseline of 31-33% for full year 2025
Raised guidance to 34-36% based on Q2 performance
exceeded
Q2'25⏳Would provide security attach rate metrics at end of 2024
Ed confirmed they'll provide update at end of 2025, not 2024
pending
Q2'25✅JFrog ML would be available to all cloud enterprise customers in Q1
Confirmed rollout completed and now expanding to hybrid customers
delivered
Q2'25✅Expected net dollar retention to stabilize in mid-teens during 2025
NDR improved from 116% to 118% sequentially, showing stabilization trend
delivered
Q1'25✅Focus on enterprise customer acquisition
$100K+ customers grew 15% YoY, $1M+ grew 35% YoY
delivered
Q1'25✅More conservative guidance philosophy
Excluded largest deals, didn't carry forward Q1 outperformance to full year
delivered
Q1'25✅JFrog ML available to cloud enterprise customers
Launched in Q1 as promised, now available to all cloud enterprise customers
delivered
Q1'25✅Net dollar retention to stabilize
Moved from 100% to 116%, management calls this 'stabilizing in mid-teens'
delivered
Q1'25✅Cloud baseline growth 30% to 32% for 2024
Delivered 41% actual cloud growth, raised 2025 baseline to 31-33%
exceeded
Q1'25⏳Security core will achieve material revenue contribution in 2025
Still guiding for this but stopped giving specific percentages, shifted to qualitative language
pending
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Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Grades, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.