Doximity (DOCS)

Management Credibility Scorecard · 5 quarters tracked (Q4'25 - Q4'26)
Last updated May 14, 2026 · latest call analyzed
85%
Kept of 26 resolved
22
Kept / Exceeded
4
Missed
5
Still Pending

Grade History

QuarterDisclosure QualityFinancial Quality
Q4'25 →C+B-
Q1'26 →B+B+
Q2'26 →B+B+
Q3'26 →C+B-
Q4'26 →B-B

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedPromiseStatus
Q4'26✅Maintain 50% or greater adjusted EBITDA margins on annual basis
Delivered 55% full year margin despite Q4 pressure, maintaining profitability commitment
delivered
Q4'26❌MFN deals being signed should allow more confident execution of 2026 media plans
Market visibility still limited, policy uncertainty remains elevated per management
missed
Q4'26❌Higher portion of clients' budgets not deployed upfront will likely be available during upsell season
Still seeing shorter-term spend commitments as the norm, suggests budget didn't materialize
missed
Q4'26✅We expect to have a product in market this year for AI commercialization
Launched AI Search in late April as promised, though with minimal near-term revenue impact
delivered
Q4'26⏳We believe we'll end calendar year 2026 with significantly better growth than we started it
Q4 guidance of 4% growth at midpoint suggests slow start as predicted
pending
Q4'26⏳We do anticipate a more notable ramp as we move into our fiscal back half
Said this in Q3 about fiscal 2026 back half - that's Q3/Q4 FY26 which just ended with 'minimal' AI revenue
pending
Q3'26✅We believe margins will look materially similar to where they are today at over 55%
Maintained 55%+ adjusted EBITDA margin guidance despite AI investments
delivered
Q3'26✅Multi-module integrated offerings proven strong fit for upsell season
40% of Q2 bookings were integrated programs, up from 5% year ago
delivered
Q3'26⚠️We're entering upfront season with strong client engagement and product momentum
January bookings were record, but Q4 revenue guidance cut dramatically
mixed
Q3'26✅We will continue to invest in AI and expect costs to increase in back half of year
Gross margins down 180bps from AI infrastructure, as promised
delivered
Q3'26⏳We believe we can continue to outgrow the market regardless of where budgets end up
Market growth estimates lowered, still claiming outgrowth but with less confidence
pending
Q3'26❌These integrated programs will provide better predictability for our business long-term
Q4 guidance shows same lumpiness as before, no smoothing achieved
missed
Q2'26✅Q1: Stock buybacks as 'valuable use of incremental cash above reinvestment needs'
Repurchased $21.9M in Q2, though at higher price ($61.62 vs $53.99 in Q1)
delivered
Q2'26✅Q1: Expected Pathway to contribute 'no revenue this year' as free offering
Confirmed still free, though noted enterprise interest for future monetization
delivered
Q2'26✅Q1: 'We will continue to take measured approach to revenue we have yet to book'
They beat Q2 by 7% but maintained conservative Q3 guide, consistent with measured approach
delivered
Q2'26✅Q1: Pathway integration 'in record time' and beta testing with physicians
Full integration completed in 7 weeks, faster than implied timeline, now live across web and mobile
exceeded
Q2'26✅Q1: AI scribe integration 'next step is to integrate directly into telehealth tools'
Scribe now integrated into Doximity Dialer with 'one click' activation for 300K daily calls
delivered
Q2'26✅Q1: 'We expect our free cash flow to be positively impacted by new tax law reversing R&D capitalization'
FCF grew 37% YoY in Q2, and they cited cash tax rate dropping to 10-15% range
delivered
Q1'26✅Share repurchases valuable use of incremental cash
$122M repurchased in Q1, dilution offset by buybacks
delivered
Q1'26✅Free cash flow positively impacted by R&D capitalization reversal
Cash tax rate dropping to 10-15% as expected
delivered
Q1'26✅Health system business showing marginal improvement
Anna confirmed continued outperformance vs expectations
delivered
Q1'26✅Client portal rollout going well with majority of pharma clients having access
Now 'lion's share' of brands on portal driving SMB growth
exceeded
Q1'26✅Increase investments in AI this year with modest expense impact
Pathway acquisition completed, just $2M+ OpEx impact as guided
delivered
Q1'26✅Multi-module integrated offerings driving larger deal sizes and January launches
Contributed to revenue beat and improved predictability
delivered
Q1'26✅Expect pharma business to maintain strong competitive position and grow at roughly twice market rate
15% growth vs 5-7% market = 2x+ multiple achieved
delivered
Q4'25✅Growing at roughly 2x market rate
Management said they grew roughly 3x market rate in FY25
exceeded
Q4'25✅AI tools continued rapid growth
Delivered 5x growth vs previous quarters' 60% sequential growth
exceeded
Q4'25✅January launches becoming the norm
Confirmed majority of programs now launch in January
delivered
Q4'25❌Integrated programs will improve revenue predictability
Visibility actually decreased from 'over 70%' to 'just under 70%'
missed
Q4'25⏳Point-of-care and formulary to be nine-figure business
Not disclosed if achieved, only said 20% of Q4 pharma sales
pending
Q4'25✅All clients will have portal access by end of fiscal 2025
Achieved majority access with plan to add remaining clients in 2025
delivered
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Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Grades, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.