SentinelOne (S)

Management Credibility Scorecard · 4 quarters tracked (Q1'26 - Q4'26)
Last updated March 12, 2026 · latest call analyzed
95%
Kept of 21 resolved
20
Kept / Exceeded
1
Missed
5
Still Pending

Grade History

QuarterDisclosure QualityFinancial Quality
Q1'26 →B-B
Q2'26 →B+B+
Q3'26 →B+B+
Q4'26 →B+B+

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedPromiseStatus
Q4'26✅Operating income outlook supported by emerging solutions contributions
Data, AI, Cloud, and Wayfinder all showed strong growth
delivered
Q4'26✅Revenue to be approximately $1.001 billion for FY26
Achieved $1 billion revenue growing 22% YoY
exceeded
Q4'26✅Positive free cash flow for full year
Achieved 5% free cash flow margin on trailing 12-month basis
delivered
Q4'26✅Full year operating margin to slightly exceed 3%
Achieved 3.5% full year operating margin
exceeded
Q4'26❌Expect to sustain gross margin at high 70s level
78% in Q4 vs 79% in Q3, guided Q4 to 77.5%
missed
Q4'26✅Q4 net new ARR to be higher sequentially
$64M vs $54M in Q3 - delivered 19% sequential growth
exceeded
Q3'26✅Flex would help secure larger multi-solution deals
Seeing larger deals and longer-term commitments with Flex adoption
delivered
Q3'26✅Data solutions booking growth would accelerate
Achieved triple-digit growth for second consecutive quarter
delivered
Q3'26✅Purple AI attach rates would continue growing
Hit record 40%+ attach rate, surpassing prior 30%+ levels
exceeded
Q3'26✅Drive second consecutive full year of positive free cash flow
Q3 achieved 6% free cash flow margin, on track for full year positive
delivered
Q3'26✅Sustain quarterly operating profitability going forward
Q3 marked sustained quarterly operating profitability achievement
delivered
Q3'26⏳Deliver first full year of operating profit in fiscal year '26
On track with Q3 7% operating margin and guide to slightly exceed 3% full-year
pending
Q2'26✅Federal deal closed in early Q2
7-figure renewal and expansion deal mentioned as completed
delivered
Q2'26⏳Operating margin between 3-4% for FY26
Narrowed to 3% despite strong Q2 performance
pending
Q2'26✅Revenue range $996M to $1B for FY26
Raised to $998M-$1.02B midpoint $1B
exceeded
Q2'26⏳Positive free cash flow for full year
On track with 2% TTM margin, reaffirmed commitment
pending
Q2'26✅Q2 operating margin of breakeven
Delivered 2% vs 0% guided
exceeded
Q2'26✅Q2 revenue of approximately $242M
Hit exactly at $242M
delivered
Q2'26✅Sequential net new ARR growth exceeding typical Q2 seasonality (double the ~16% rate)
$53M net new ARR represents massive outperformance vs the ~$38M implied by doubling 16% sequential
exceeded
Q1'26✅Strong federal pipeline despite budget uncertainty
Closed seven-figure federal deal in early Q2, expanded FedRAMP authorizations
delivered
Q1'26✅Platform solutions driving higher ARR per customer
ARR per customer reached new record in Q1
delivered
Q1'26✅Data business crossing $100 million milestone
Announced data solutions surpassed $100M ARR in Q1
delivered
Q1'26✅Free cash flow margin to exceed operating margin by several percentage points
Delivered record 20% FCF margin in Q1, well above operating margin
delivered
Q1'26⏳Operating margin to be between positive 3% and 4%
Reiterated same guidance range for FY26
pending
Q1'26✅We expect revenue of $1.07 billion to $1.12 billion, representing 23% growth
Narrowed to $996M-$1B range (22% growth) but exceeded Q1 expectations
delivered
Q1'26⏳We expect to deliver approximately $200 million in net new ARR, growing about 2% year-over-year
Still tracking toward this but admitted Q1 weakness and took more measured stance
pending
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Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Grades, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.