Grade History
| Quarter | Disclosure Quality | Financial Quality |
|---|---|---|
| Q1'25 → | B+ | B+ |
| Q4'25 → | B+ | B |
| Q1'26 → | B- | B |
Promise Ledger · All Quarters
| Marked | Promise | Status | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1'26 | ⏳ | 15%+ cash-on-cash returns on development projects Still maintaining this target across all four projects | pending |
| Q1'26 | ❌ | Council Bluffs opening late 2027 or early 2028 Now pushed to 2028, blamed on timing shift but 6+ month delay | missed |
| Q1'26 | ⏳ | Columbus and Aurora properties opening by end of Q2 Now targeting June 12 and June 24 respectively, slightly pushed from earlier timeline | pending |
| Q1'26 | ⏳ | Delever by more than 1 turn of lease-adjusted net leverage Tracking to mid-5s range, appears on track | pending |
| Q1'26 | ⏳ | Generate $3+ per share of free cash flow in 2026 Reaffirmed guidance, on track with CapEx reductions supporting FCF | pending |
| Q1'26 | ✅ | Marketing spend to decline approximately $150M in 2026 Q1 down over 65% vs expected 50%, ahead of plan on cost reduction | exceeded |
| Q1'26 | ❌ | Achieve breakeven adjusted EBITDA in Interactive segment for 2026 Moved to $20M loss but blamed entirely on Alberta launch - convenient excuse | missed |
| Q4'25 | ✅ | Successfully retain customers through Score Bet rebrand Claim retention succeeded, especially in top 4 customer tiers | delivered |
| Q4'25 | ✅ | Achieve positive Interactive EBITDA following ESPN Bet transition December was already profitable at segment level | exceeded |
| Q4'25 | ✅ | Reduce maintenance CapEx to pre-COVID levels Cut $20M annually, returned to ~$220M level | delivered |
| Q4'25 | ⏳ | Open Aurora and Columbus properties in 2026 Now specified late Q2 timing for both projects | pending |
| Q4'25 | ✅ | Complete $350+ million share repurchase program in 2025 Hit exactly $354M, fulfilled commitment | delivered |
| Q4'25 | ⏳ | Breakeven or better adjusted EBITDA for Interactive in 2026 Recommitted but softened language from 'positive' to 'breakeven' - slight downgrade | pending |
| Q1'25 | ⏳ | Share repurchase magnitude to increase in back-half of year $35M YTD, need to accelerate significantly to hit meaningful levels | pending |
| Q1'25 | ⏳ | Free cash flow positive in 2025 and beyond Reiterated guidance but no Q1 FCF disclosed | pending |
| Q1'25 | ✅ | Four growth projects on-time and on-budget Reiterated all projects remain on schedule and budget | delivered |
| Q1'25 | ⏳ | Positive Interactive EBITDA in Q4 2025 Still committed to this but no update on path to profitability | pending |
| Q1'25 | ✅ | Each quarter delivering lower Interactive losses sequentially through 2025 Q1 loss of $89M vs Q4 loss of $109.8M - $20.8M improvement as promised | delivered |
| Q1'25 | ⏳ | Interactive EBITDA improvement of roughly $350M at midpoint for 2025 Q1 showed $107M YoY improvement, need $243M more improvement across remaining quarters | pending |
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