Henry Schein (HSIC)

Management Credibility Scorecard · 5 quarters tracked (Q1'25 - Q1'26)
Last updated May 5, 2026 · latest call analyzed
87%
Kept of 15 resolved
13
Kept / Exceeded
2
Missed
16
Still Pending

Grade History

QuarterDisclosure QualityFinancial Quality
Q1'25 →B-B
Q2'25 →B+B+
Q3'25 →B+B
Q4'25 →B-B-
Q1'26 →B+B+

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedPromiseStatus
Q1'26⚠️Stable dental and medical end markets assumption
Dental performing better than expected, medical weaker due to respiratory product decline
mixed
Q1'26❌Specialty Products improved growth in 2026
Specialty growth decelerated to 8.1% from 14.6% prior quarter, though management expects improvement ahead
missed
Q1'26✅Mid-single-digit adjusted EBITDA growth in 2026
Q1 EBITDA up 11.6% YoY, well ahead of mid-single-digit guidance
exceeded
Q1'26✅Value creation benefits beginning in 2026
Gross margin expansion and 'early benefits perhaps of the gross profit initiative' visible in Q1
delivered
Q1'26✅High-growth, high-margin businesses approaching 50% of operating income
Confirmed 'approaching 50%' as promised, on track for >50% by 2027
delivered
Q1'26⏳Complete US and Canadian henryschein.com rollout in Q1 2026
Shifted timeline-now expecting US rollout completion by end of August, Canadian already done
pending
Q4'25❌Continue buybacks at similar pace to Q3
Q3 was $229M, Q4 was $200M - reduction despite guidance
missed
Q4'25⏳Over 50% of operating income from high-growth, high-margin businesses by 2027
Approaching 50% currently, on track per management
pending
Q4'25⏳Return to high single-digit, low double-digit earnings growth
2026 guidance of 5-8% EPS growth is bottom end of this range
pending
Q4'25⏳Annual run-rate savings over $100M from restructuring
Still in progress, costs accelerated to $105M for full year
pending
Q4'25✅Expect equipment results to help in Q4 from DS World order intake
Equipment sales delivered 10.6% growth in Q4 as promised
delivered
Q4'25⏳Complete rollout to U.S. dental and Canadian customers in Q1 and U.S. medical shortly thereafter
Henryschein.com rollout timeline restated exactly - trackable for Q1 2026
pending
Q3'25⏳CEO succession announcement by end of year
Still on track according to management
pending
Q3'25✅Annual run rate savings of over $100 million by end of 2025
Reconfirmed target, now described as 'slightly over $100 million'
delivered
Q3'25✅New henryschein.com platform rollout in North America
Phased launch confirmed in North America
delivered
Q3'25✅Returns to normal promotional activity levels
Confirmed return to normal levels with July sales strength
delivered
Q3'25⏳Equipment sales to improve in second half of year
Q3 saw modest improvement, Q4 guidance maintained not improved
pending
Q3'25✅We will provide a further update on value creation initiatives on Q3 call
Delivered with specific $200M target and timeline
delivered
Q2'25✅High-growth, high-margin businesses to contribute over 50% by 2027
Reached 45% in Q2, ahead of trajectory to 50%+ target.
delivered
Q2'25⏳Sales growth 2% to 4% for 2025
Q2 was 3.3%, maintaining full-year guidance range.
pending
Q2'25⏳Operating cash flow to exceed net income for full year
Still maintained this guidance despite Q2 working capital investments.
pending
Q2'25✅High-end of $75M-$100M restructuring savings by end of 2025
Now expects 'slightly over $100 million' - beat the high end of range.
exceeded
Q2'25✅GEP platform phased launch in North America during Q3 (Q1)
Launched in Canada and began US launch in Q2, continuing into Q4 as promised.
delivered
Q2'25⏳Equipment sales will improve in second half of year (Q1: 'consistent demand')
Q2 saw tariff-related uncertainty but backlog recovered. Still expecting H2 improvement.
pending
Q1'25⏳More heavily weighted earnings to second half of year
Q1 represents about 23% of midpoint guidance, consistent with back-half weighting
pending
Q1'25✅Operating income from high-growth, high-margin businesses to grow steadily
Exceeded by raising 2027 target from 40% to over 50%
delivered
Q1'25⏳Mid-single digit adjusted EBITDA growth in 2025
Q1 EBITDA of $259M vs $255M prior year on track
pending
Q1'25⏳GEP platform launch in North America during 2025
Narrowed to Q3 launch, on track
pending
Q1'25✅$75-100M annual restructuring savings by end of 2025
Now expect high end of range, ahead of schedule
delivered
Q1'25⏳2025 total sales growth of 2% to 4%
Q1 at -0.1% but excluding FX/PPE was 2%, within range
pending
Q1'25⏳2025 non-GAAP EPS range of $4.80 to $4.94
Q1 run rate of $1.15 puts them on track for mid-point
pending
Get the next HSIC call sheet the day it drops.
Subscribe to Call Sheet Daily →
Every missed promise →  ·  Metrics that vanished →  ·  All credibility pages →
About Research ↗ · Credibility Index · Missed Promises · Screens · 13F Holdings · Subscribe
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Grades, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.