Fluor (FLR)

Management Credibility Scorecard · 5 quarters tracked (Q1'25 - Q1'26)
Last updated May 8, 2026 · latest call analyzed
67%
Kept of 15 resolved
10
Kept / Exceeded
5
Missed
17
Still Pending

Grade History

QuarterDisclosure QualityFinancial Quality
Q1'25 →BB
Q2'25 →B-C+
Q3'25 →B-B
Q4'25 →C+B-
Q1'26 →B+B+

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedPromiseStatus
Q1'26⏳Mission Solutions margins around 6% for 2026
LOGCAP charge obscures underlying performance but Savannah River contribution intact
pending
Q1'26⏳Urban Solutions margins of 3-4% for 2026
Q1 charge suggests lower end of range more likely
pending
Q1'26⏳Operating cash flow of $300 million for 2026
Q1 performance of $110M suggests good trajectory despite legacy drains
pending
Q1'26⏳Complete three infrastructure legacy projects in 2026
Projects progressing but still burning cash and management time
pending
Q1'26⏳New awards significantly higher than 2025 ($12B)
Q1 start suggests need for ~$4B+ quarterly run rate in remaining quarters
pending
Q1'26⏳Book-to-burn ratio above 1 for 2026 weighted to back half
Q1 awards of $2.7B vs revenue burn suggests need for acceleration in H2
pending
Q4'25✅Early indications would suggest EBITDA generation will be marginally better than 2025
Guided $525-585M vs $510-540M for 2025, modest improvement as promised
delivered
Q4'25⏳Most new awards in 2026 will be weighted towards the second half of the year
Cannot assess until awards actually materialize
pending
Q4'25❌We anticipate around $140 million legacy project funding for 2026
Guidance increased to $220M, up 57% from initial expectation
missed
Q4'25⏳New awards for 2026 will be significantly higher than in 2025, with a book-to-burn ratio in excess of one
2025 actual was $12B, so need materially above that level
pending
Q4'25⏳We expect to conclude our NuScale monetization efforts during Q2
40M shares still to be sold after converting 71M shares for $1.35B
pending
Q4'25⏳We now see a path to target an additional $800 million in repurchases through the end of February
Delivered $335M through February 2026 per opening remarks, on track for commitment
pending
Q3'25⏳$13-15B new awards for 2025
At $13B guidance floor, appears achievable
pending
Q3'25❌SRPPF award in 2025
Pushed to first half 2026
missed
Q3'25⏳Infrastructure cost recovery actions
Actions taken but recovery timeline extended
pending
Q3'25✅Operating cash flow improvement Q3
$286M vs negative $21M in Q2
exceeded
Q3'25✅Mexico JV payment resolution
$800M collected Q3 plus $300M in October, execution ramping
delivered
Q3'25✅LNGC Train 2 RFSU in Q3
Achieved RFSU last week, ahead of expectations
exceeded
Q3'25✅NuScale monetization plan to be unveiled Q3 2025
Announced conversion timeline and monetization through Q2 2026
delivered
Q2'25✅LNGC Train 1 RFS achievement
Achieved RFS and first cargo shipment in Q2 as guided
delivered
Q2'25✅NuScale monetization plan over next quarter
Announced conversion of 15M shares, though at lower price than hoped
delivered
Q2'25❌Share repurchases up to $600M for 2025
Reduced to $450-500M due to cash flow constraints
missed
Q2'25❌Urban Solutions margins 4-5%
Cut to 2.5-3.5% due to infrastructure project cost growth
missed
Q2'25⏳Revenue growth approximately 15% for 2025
Reduced to 5-10%, significantly below original guidance
pending
Q2'25⏳New awards book-to-burn ratio above 1 for 2025
Still committed but SRPPF delay and market hesitation create risk
pending
Q2'25❌Operating cash flow between $450-500M for 2025
Reduced to $200-250M due to working capital impacts and claims recovery timing
missed
Q1'25✅Book-to-burn ratio well above 1 for 2025
Q1 delivered 1.5 ratio with strong new awards of $5.8B
exceeded
Q1'25✅Legacy projects requiring up to $200M funding in 2025
Reaffirmed $200M requirement, $70M spent in Q1, tracking to expectation
delivered
Q1'25⏳Operating cash flow $450-500M for 2025
Q1 was -$286M but management noted April improvement, maintaining guidance
pending
Q1'25⏳Revenue growth of approximately 15% for 2025
Q1 flat sequentially, needs acceleration in remaining quarters to hit target
pending
Q1'25⏳Energy Solutions margins 3.5-4.5% for 2025
Q1 came in at ~3.1%, below range due to project mix and absorption issues
pending
Q1'25✅Share repurchase program targeting $300M in 2025
Doubled to $600M authorization, already spent $142M in Q1 vs $300M full year plan
exceeded
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Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Grades, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.